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Mystery Trader To Collect On Financial Meltdown?
#1
Suspicion increases about so-called Bin Laden trades as markets tumble after bank run

Paul Joseph Watson
Prison Planet
Monday, September 17, 2007 

A run on the Northern Rock bank in Britain has increased the possibility that a mystery trader could stand to collect around $2 billion should a panic send markets tumbling during the course of this week, as investors have predicted.

Last month, we reported on the mystery trader who risks losing around $1 billion dollars after placing 245,000 put options on the Dow Jones Eurostoxx 50 index, which led many analysts to speculate that a stock market crash preceded by a new 9/11 style attack or another catastrophe could take place before or during the third week of September.

The anonymous trader only stands to make money if the market crashes by a third to a half before September 21st, which is when the put options expire.

Following the run on the Northern Rock bank in Britain, specialist investors are now warning of an imminent and severe correction in the markets.

“The credit cycle has turned, bad debts are soaring, banks will go bust and stock markets will fall much further,” Ken Murray, the founder and chief executive of Blue Planet Investment Management, told the Financial Times today, shortly after selling half the equities in his portfolio.

The Northern Rock crisis was followed by Alan Greenspan's warning that both the US and UK housing markets are on the verge of a major downturn as Prime Minister Gordon Brown holds an emergency meeting with US Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson today.

Thousands of people around Britain queued for hours at Northern Rock branches throughout Friday and Saturday attempting to withdraw their money as the global credit crunch sunk its teeth in again following the sub-prime mortgage fallout in the US.

Analysts from TheStreet.com dismissed last month's so-called Bin Laden trades as nothing out of the ordinary, but still noted that the transactions outstrip anything else seen in a year.

Though the current climate will undoubtedly send stocks tumbling, to see a downturn of a full third within a week is unlikely bar a catalyzing outside event like the announcement of military operations against Iran or a terror attack in the west on the scale of 9/11.

http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/sep...trader.htm
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#2
I'm not positive, but I am thinking the three local banks in my town completed a lot of account restructuring recently in order to stabilize their interests or limit vulnerablity to the vast financial changes happening in the financial markets.
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#3
I’m beginning to think we might be in for a crash like they had in 1929.

U.S. Banks Brace for Storm Surge as Dollar and Credit System Reel
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#4
I can see why you would think that, Richard, but I have no clue as to what will play out in the near future other than those who know exactly what is really going on have and will position themselves in the best way they can to ride out whatever unfolds.
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#5
http://www.tickerforum.org/cgi-ticker/ak...?post=4669

If you read this thread or even some of it, (good luck -- it's 31 pages long [!!!] and I have not read all of it yet) it appears to me that the mystery trader was actually betting that the market would NOT lose 30% by September 21st.

The DOW jumped today because the FED lowered a key short term lending rate by .50 instead of the expected .25. This was no accident and was timed, as usual.

Read below the last entry of the above thread I included the link to:

"whoever made this play is in a no lose situation.

Market tanks they collect

Market goes up or neutral they dont pay the loan back..its simple as that"

It sounds like this was a way to get a free loan. Three more days until the 21st to watch what the market does.
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#6
I made a few needed corrections to my last post.

All of these financial moves reek even though I am too darn ignorant to really understand them though the planned spin has been endless and expected.

I have this picture in my mind of these ultra-rich people sitting in a plush room laughing their behinds off.
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#7
That’s interesting info you came up with. I have a feeling that the FED lowering interest rates won’t help much. It's not high interest rates that is causing the housing problem...it's the prices of homes that are way too high....25-50% drop is what is needed. Low interest rates allowed home prices to get ridiculously high. The average person can no longer afford to buy a home.
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#8
Fed Cuts Discount Rate & Fed Funds Rate 1/2 Percent

Dow Theory Analysis

By Enrico Orlandini - Economist
9-19-7

What a great day, at least for me. The US Federal Reserve in its infinite wisdom lowered both the discount rate as well as the fed funds rate by one half of one percent. The significance of this move is not lost on me and that's what I am going to talk about tonight. Today the Fed declared its true colors today as it lowered rates. Back in March the Fed said its main concern was inflation. Since then oil has risen from $66 to $82, gold has risen from $650 to $732, wheat has rallied from $4 to $7, soybeans have rallied from $6 to $9, and cotton has rallied from $56 to $65. I could go on but I think you get the idea. Today the CRB hit yet another new all-time closing high as well as an intraday high. By any measure the Fed was right to be concerned and their concerns bore fruit. The Fed's mission is to protect the US dollar. Therefore given an inflationary environment, the proper action would have been to raise interest rates in order to put a brake on inflation and protect the real value of the US dollar. That didn't happen.
 
On the other hand we have decreases in consumer spending and the housing sector is in serious trouble. Consumers are in trouble because they spent money they didn't have while housing is in trouble because large institutions loaned money when they shouldn't have. It would be fair to say that greed got the best of them. Bear Stearns and Goldman Sachs knew they made bad loans so they packaged them, gave them a fancy name (Collateralized Debt Obligations or CDO's for short), and then sold them to widows, orphans, and UK banks. About two months ago the world found out that these CDO's are pretty much worthless and the widows and orphans should have read the fine print. It is my opinion that the Fed's actions have one purpose and one purpose only; to save the Goldman Sachs of the world. I believe today's actions will be of little or no benefit to the US consumer.
 
Everything has a cost and the cost is considerable. In one swift move, the Fed drove a stake through the heart of the US dollar and the bond. It also mortally wounded commodity bears in general and gold bears in particular. Also, the Fed has probably managed to recycle an old bubble (the stock market) so that Goldman Sachs has a place to recuperate losses. Notice the emphasis on "probably" because I'm still not sure they'll get away with it. Let's start with the daily chart of US Dollar Index:
 
Read the rest here
http://www.rense.com/general78/dowen.htm  
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#9
Can anyone answer....If there is a stock market collapse, does it mean all stocks will go down or will some like oil, banking, energy, stay stable? Usually these large drops hurt those who buy on margins. Would it affect all stockholders? Stocks affect every investment. Annuities, pension plans , bank interest, etc. They all invest in stocks to make money. Is anything safe if this happens. ??? It seems even selling stock and putting money in the bank could put savings in jeopardy. I find this a little complicated. Can someone more knowlegeable explain this better.
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#10
I think the FED lowered interests to boot up market buying and that is what happened.  No 30% crash in sight and tomorrow is the 21st.
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